THE twists and turns in the country's financial upheavals have completely changed the
mission of Dr Vichit Suraphongchai, chairman of Radanasin Bank or ''the good bank''.
Late last year, when the former president of Bangkok Bank and ex-transport and
communications minister agreed to head Radanasin, he shared a growing concern at that time
that if nothing was done, the good assets of the insolvent finance companies would quickly
melt down. Asset prices would melt down, affecting the entire economy, particularly
financial institutions.
Then, the combined assets of the 56 finance companies stood at Bt800 or Bt900 billion,
half of which was believed to be bad loans. After suspending the operations of 16 finance
companies in June 1997 and another 42 in August 1997, the government took another three
months to justify its difficult decision to close them down. In fact, these zombies were
dead on Day One of their suspension.
In those three months, the asset quality of the 56 finance companies rotted away.
Amaret Sila-on, the chairman of the Financial Sector Restructuring Authority, rolled up
his sleeves, determined to muster the best prices from auctioning the Bt800-billion in
assets of the defunct companies. His mandate is to complete the auction of these assets,
good and bad, by the end of 1998.
Amaret signalled to Vichit of ''the good bank'' and ML Pridiyathorn Devakula of ''the
bad bank'', or the Asset Management Corporation, that both should be ready to participate
in the auctions in early March 1998. Radanasin would bid only for the good assets of the
finance companies, while Asset Management would buy the left-over assets that nobody else
wanted. Proceeds from the auctions will be proportionately divided among the creditors of
the 56 finance companies.
As it turned out, both the good bank and bad bank were undercapitalised. Since the
government was broke, it could allocate only Bt4 billion to the good bank and Bt1 billion
to the bad bank. Pridiyathorn needed at least Bt10 billion -- not Bt1 billion -- to
leverage into Bt100 billion to buy up the bad assets. Vichit also needed a bundle more, so
that he could stand shoulder-to-shoulder against the deep-pocketed foreign funds, which
had been coolly circling above the corpses of the 56 finance companies.
Vichit hurriedly put together the office for the good bank, leasing space in a building
of the Italian-Thai Group and mounting a hiring spree. Some 8,000 people applied for jobs.
Bangkok Bank helped out with information technology.
Vichit promised Prime Minister Chuan Leekpai he would be ready to kick off the good
bank by March 1, 1998. But he could not make it on time since the paint was still wet and
the computers were not yet connected. He made it on March 15.
But how much could Vichit bid for the good assets when his upstart good bank did not
have the cash? It would have been imprudent for the good bank to embark on a price war to
mobilise deposits when the banking system was already rattling from a run. Moreover, the
Financial Structure Restructuring Authority (FRA) had required that the means of payment
had to be in cash or near cash.
But couldn't the good bank pay for the auctioned assets in notes or commercial paper?
Vichit lobbied Amaret, FRA president Vicharat Vichit-vadakarn, Finance Minister Tarrin
Nimmanahaeminda and banking officials to support this idea. But he could not sell it. By
the way, the Financial Institution Development Fund is the largest creditor of the 56
finance companies, having pumped Bt450 billion into their books to keep alive the bodies
of their dead brains.
Vichit had argued that if the good bank could competitively participate in the
auctions, it at least could act as a buffer to prevent the collapse of general asset
prices. For instance, the good bank would bid Bt70 for an asset worth Bt100. If another
fund raised the bid to Bt75 or Bt80, the good bank would back off. But if the good bank
didn't participate, that same asset could be marked at Bt30 or Bt40 as a starting bid.
Amaret appeared to have his own reasons for taking only cash and not notes. Thailand
was badly in need of foreign capital to shore up the baht and boost domestic liquidity. If
Amaret could bring in US$10 billion, or Bt400 billion, from selling off the assets of the
56 finance companies, he would accomplish his job.
Besides, there was simply not enough local money around since most was stuck in the bad
assets of the financial institutions. About 40 per cent of the total loans of Bt5-Bt6
trillion in the financial system is expected to go sour. So it was impossible for Thai
institutional investors or the undercapitalised commercial banks to participate in the
auctions.
Suppose that only Bt100-Bt200 billion of the total assets of the 56 finance companies
was still good, could the good bank face the criticism that, in the event of transferring
the good assets to its books, it was spending government money to bail out the private
sector after all of the waste that the FIDF had spent on them? That's the rationale of the
International Monetary Fund, which also believed that the practice would amount to
transferring the burden from the FIDF to the good bank. Why not let the market decide the
fate of the 56 finance companies?
But Vichit understood that if the good assets -- a lot of which were loans to
manufacturers -- were not properly handled, Thai enterprises would go under because they
were denied the liquidity even though business-wise they were sound. Tarrin also shared
this view. In December 1997, before Tarrin held funeral rites for the 56 finance
companies, he received negative feedback from the IMF for setting up the good bank, which
could have represented another moral hazard.
The IMF told Tarrin: ''You don't need another bank ... You are doing something
impossible.'' Tarrin replied: ''Your fear is that our case will be just like the Japanese
banks. My darkest fear is that if nobody shows up to bid or if somebody bids so low
without competition, say, 25 satang for an asset worth Bt1, what would you do?''
The IMF did not have the answer. Subsequently, it toned down its stance but stipulated
in the latest letter of intent that Radanasin could bid only for the highest quality
assets of the defunct finance companies.
Without the money or a finely-tuned mandate, Vichit and his good bank stood at the
crossroads. If he could not lead the good bank to fulfil the original mandate, why didn't
he develop it into a viable commercial bank from scratch. To do so, he would need to
attract a foreign partner and capital to jump-start Radanasin.
Another major twist to the events occurred after the government privatised the Bangkok
Bank of Commerce, the First Bangkok City Bank, Siam City Bank and the Bangkok Metropolitan
Bank. The privatisation made the Radanasin Bank obsolete because the government did not
need to have that many banks under its wing.
But the show must go on. Now Vichit, with the help of a foreign partner, is pondering
the possibility of acquiring the good assets and branches of the defunct finance companies
and the privatised banks, so that Radanasin can start afresh, without the handicap of a
labour union or the bad loans on its books. Vichit's is not the most enviable job in the
world.
BY THANONG KHANTHONG and JIWAMOL KANOKSILP