Vatchara Charoonsantikul and Thanong Khanthong look at the
implications of Thai Farmers Bank taking the lead to cut its prime rate to a
historic low of 8.75 per cent.
May 25, 1999 -- After hurling some spicy remarks at the finance minister last
Friday, Banthoon Lamsam, president of Thai Farmers Bank (TFB), yesterday almost
sarcastically went his own way by cutting the TFB prime rate by 0.25 percentage
points to 8.75 per cent.
This new minimum lending rate, effective from June 1, will be a record low in
the history of Thai banking, which is now being flooded by several hundreds of
billions of baht in excess liquidity. As a result, TFB will also maintain the
narrowest nominal interest spread between lending and deposit rates in the
banking industry. Its spread between savings and prime rates will be 4.25 per
cent, compared to 3.75 per cent between its three-month deposit rate and the
prime rate.
It is a solo move on the part of Banthoon, who is also chairman of the Thai
Bankers' Association, to cut the prime rate without seeing eye to eye with his
peers, most of whom are still reluctant to follow suit because of the burden of
more than 40 per cent of non-performing loans (NPLs) on their books. This
follows growing criticism that the banks are only interested in their survival
by maintaining a wide spread -- at the expense of innocent depositors and good
customers who service their debts regularly -- to offset their loss of interest
income from NPLs.
Bangkok Bank (BBL), which is supposed to be the market leader, was anxious
over TFB's lead and reacted immediately by following in its footsteps and
announcing a cut of its prime rate by 0.25 percentage points to 9.25 per cent,
also effective from June 1. As of now, BBL's prime rate is 9.50 per cent, equal
to a second-tier bank such as the Bank of Asia.
The situation is even worse at the state-controlled banks, all of which are
keeping their spreads wide as their NPLs average more than 60 per cent. Krung
Thai Bank's prime rate is fixed at 9.75 per cent, compared to 11.75 per cent for
both Siam City Bank and Bangkok Metropolitan Bank.
With Thai banks still charging their prime borrowers 5 per cent on top of the
base savings rate of 4.5 per cent, MR Chatu Mongol Sonakul, the Bank of Thailand
governor, informed the Cabinet yesterday about the spread in the system, which
he said was rather wide and went against the trend in the economy. As a rule of
thumb, Thai bank's spread should average 3-3.50 per cent, which leaves room for
the lending rates to come down further by at least one full percentage point in
the near future.
Since Thai banks are earning interest income from about 60 per cent of their
loans -- given the 40 per cent NPLs -- they have found it necessary to keep the
spread wide to subsidise the loss of income from their NPLs. Last week, Banthoon
angrily pointed out that even at the present nominal spread, Thai banks with
NPLs of 40 per cent were operating with a net interest gain of only 0.2 per
cent. He argued that if the authorities would like the banks to narrow the
spread further, they would be signalling a policy of killing off the banks
altogether.
However, Banthoon did what he could and took the lead in cutting the prime
rate to relieve some of the pressure. The implication is that it will force
other banks to follow suit and accelerate debt restructuring with their clients.
Moreover, lowering the prime rate will lead to lower borrowing rates for other
less-prime customers.
Since most of the banks' prime customers have now restructured their NPLs,
the banks are relying on second-tier customers to finance their survival. These
second-tier customers are charged at the minimum retail rate (MRR), which is
about 0.50 to 1 percentage point above the prime rate. Yet the banks feel free
to charge these second-tier customers a maximum 2-4 percentage points above the
MRR: 12 per cent at TFB, 13.25 per cent at BBL, 13.5 per cent at Bank of Asia,
13.5 at Siam Commercial Bank, and 13.75 per cent at Krung Thai Bank.
Penalty rates for late payments are charged at 15 per cent by TFB, 17.75 per
cent by Bangkok Metropolitan Bank, 18 per cent by Krung Thai Bank, and 21 per
cent by Radanasin Bank.
This shows that banks' good customers, which account for 60 per cent of their
loans, are being charged at high borrowing rates to subsidise NPLs. There is no
easy way out before the interest rate structure is restored, save for the banks
to complete their recapitalisations and accelerate the debt restructuring
process with their NPL customers.