Thanong Khanthong and Vatchara Charoonsantikul
look at the priorities for passing the key bills to tackle the economic crisis as rabid
nationalism starts to make its presence felt.
Thailand is up for cheap sale. This is what underlies the emotional debate sweeping the
broad spectrum of Thai society as the Chuan government embarks on an ambitious structural
reform to tackle the crisis.
The government aims to slam 13 bills through during this parliamentary session. These
bills had been drafted to support wider foreign participation, facilitate debt
restructuring through the bankruptcy and foreclosure law and attract foreign buyers in the
property sector. Cramming these who-knows-what bills, five of which have passed the first
reading, through the House and Senate almost at the same time is tantamount to asking for
trouble.
This will be a disaster for the government because it has paid no attention to
educating the public on the importance of these bills in restructuring the Thai economy.
This can be explained by the absence of a public hearing about the bills, hence creating
an impression that Thailand is just passing them to satisfy foreigners, creditors and the
International Monetary Fund. The media, too, has failed in providing the public with
in-depth coverage on the bills, and has instead politicised the issue and turned it into
nationalistic fever.
Is Thailand indeed up for a cheap sale? When Thailand tried to secure a US$17.2 billion
rescue package from the IMF in August 1997, it was already insolvent. With insolvency,
Thailand, as judged by the international community then, was not capable of honouring its
foreign debts of more than $90 billion because it had used most of its foreign exchange
reserves to defend the baht. Without the IMF's standby credit replenishing the Bank of
Thailand's reserves, the country would not have been able come this far in achieving a
fair degree of financial stability.
In short, the then Chavalit government had already pawned Thailand to the IMF and
international creditors. In exchange for standby credit, the IMF had imposed policy
conditions which implicitly required Thai government agencies, the Cabinet and the
Parliament to pass measures, resolutions and legislations supporting broad economic and
financial reforms. The bills -- covering foreign participation, known as the Por Wor 281,
the bankruptcy and foreclosure process and the foreign ownership in property -- are part
of those painful policy conditions, which the Thai government, with no other choices, had
committed itself to.
However, in order to avoid a political storm and public backlash, which could derail
the entire finance and economic reform process, it might be wiser for the government to
try and push the more urgent bills, like those covering bankruptcy, judicial court and
foreclosure laws, through Parliament.
Without having debt restructuring unlock the more than Bt2 trillion in bad debts in the
banking system, the door to Thailand's recovery may permanently be shut. It takes at least
seven years for a bankruptcy case to make its way through the current Thai court system
before a final decision is made. Debtors' struggles to avoid making repayments has left
banks sitting on a mountain of bad debts because there has been no legal infrastructure to
help them restructure them.
There is, of course, a vested interest in shooting these bills down because soon
guarantors of debts will also have to pay their due. Most big-time businessmen and
politicians have left finger prints on bad cheques, providing loan guarantees for their
relatives or friends during the good times without any second thoughts. Now is the day of
reckoning.
In fact, any civilised country is expected to have bankruptcy and foreclosure laws as
well as an efficient judicial system. When high-flying Peregrine collapsed on the back of
the rupiah crisis, it took a few months for Hong Kong regulators to liquidate its assets
and use the proceeds to pay back creditors. This is normal business.
Foreign investors, impressed with Thailand's reforms so far, are now queuing to make a
comeback and are only waiting for the passage of these crucial bills and progress in the
debt restructuring. Should the Parliament block these bills, the entire reform process
will become fruitless and the Thai economy will remain in the doldrums. On the contrary,
should the bills be passed, confidence will be renewed and will pave the way for Thailand
to become the first Asian country to find its way out of the crisis.
As for bills on the Por Wor 281 amendments, Dr Supachai Panitchpakdi, the deputy prime
minister and commerce minister, has staked his political career on their passage. The Por
Wor 281, or the Alien Business Law, which came into being in 1972, had originally been
drafted to protect Thai interests. However, in practice, the law had been nullified by
nominees, the Thai-US treaty and other legal loopholes.
A legal expert said: ''It is not a matter of life or death if the Alien Business Law is
not amended. There are ways to circumvent the restriction. I think it is being pushed
through because foreigners want us to take a beating.''
Embracing a liberal regime is part of Thailand's open door policy and its willingness
to participate in the globalisation process. However, the passage of the Por Wor 281 laws
are not as urgent as the bankruptcy and foreclosure laws. This is equally true to the
amendment on the law governing foreign ownership of Thai land and condominiums. Foreigners
can, in practice, own Thai land via the use of several loopholes, like setting up a local
company to buy land, or acquiring land in an industrial estate.
In conclusion, the bravado of foreigners' buying Thailand cheap has more to do with
style rather than with substance. Suchon Chalikrua, a senator, has promised to take a hard
look at the bills related to tackling the economic crisis by forming a Senate working
committee to scrutinise them.
''We need a committee because we have very little time but we need to promulgate the
laws more cautiously and in a fashion that protects the interests of the Thai people,'' he
said.