LEADING economist Ammar Siamwalla has urged a complete revamp of the traditional role
of the Bank of Thailand if the government is to live up to expectations in its management
of macroeconomic stability.
Now that the the baht has been floated and the Thai economy has become more globalised,
it is necessary for the central bank to undergo a serious self-examination, which should
lead to a functional reorganisation.
Ammar, a staunch advocate of the baht devaluation, thinks that management of the
monetary policy under the managed float foreign exchange regime will become more
complicated, possibly leading to a growing conflict between the banking regulators and
politicians.
In the past, the conflict had been largely subdued thanks largely to the central bank's
heavy reliance on monetary policy to hold the baht stable under the fixed exchange regime.
By doing so, the central bank automatically succeeded in bringing inflation under control.
But the baht flotation will totally change the name of the game, making it necessary to
readjust the role of the guardian of macroeconomic stability. ''The Bank of Thailand Act
should be amended to clearly redefine the relationship between the finance minister and
the Bank of Thailand governor. Hopefully, this redefinition of their roles should bring
about a smoother relationship between the two," he said.
Soon after the Labour Party took over the British government, the new chancellor of the
exchequer, Gordon Brown, controversially handed the Bank of England independence in
managing the monetary policy. During the conservative reign, the chancellor of the
exchequer and the central bank governor frequently haggled over the interest rate policy.
But Brown stopped short of giving the Bank of England a blank cheque. He also appointed
a number of outside experts to sit on the bank's policy-making body, hence making the
institution more accountable to the public interest.
Ammar went on to question the conflicting roles of the Thai central bank as lender of
last resort and also as examiner and supervisor of the financial institutions. He proposed
that the central bank limit its role to managing price stability and turn over supervision
of banks and finance companies to another body.
''If there is to be no change in this functional role, the government should re-examine
its present stance that it will assume full responsibility for the risks of the financial
institutions. Some of these risks must be transferred to the shareholders, the creditors
and the depositors," Ammar said. ''More importantly, the supervisory body must
provide detailed information surrounding the status of the financial institutions in a
transparent and timely fashion."
Ammar also criticised the fundamental philosophy of the Bank of Thailand in its attempt
to provide guidelines for the development of banks and finance companies. While the
regulators promote competition among banks and finance companies as a development of the
Thai financial system, in practice they extend almost full protection to the licensed
banks and finance companies, he added. The underlying premise is that banks and finance
companies are too big to fail.
Now the banking regulators have embraced a completely new policy by enticing stronger
finance companies into bailing out their weaker peers in return for bank licences, he
said.
A final traditional role of the central bank that should be re-examined is its role as
promoter of sectoral economic growth, Ammar said. Ammar explained that it is quite
contradictory that the central bank, whose main task is to manage price stability, is also
assigned a leading role in promoting sectors it deems important to spurring economic
growth.
By doing so, the central bank inadvertently is chief advocate of the industrial policy,
which runs into conflict with its monetary role.
Ammar said the process of self-examination by the central bank should take place over
the next three to 12 months since the institution will be for now focusing most of its
energy on combatting inflation, keeping the Thai banks and finance companies solvent and
stabilising the baht.